The last blood moon was in warmer weather, and I took a lawn chair and sat in the middle of the street late at night to watch it.
Way past due!
1 in 40 is still not very likely, but i am not really liking how the more we refine the data, the higher the risk gets.
I refuse to see it.
I don’t know what you’re talking about, but it can’t be any worse than Musk’s head on a dachshund’s (?) body.
(I know the people who made it call that a goat, but I have seen goats before and that is not it.)
Looks disturbing, dangerous, and built to destroy. Perfect likeness.
Good. Like Perseus, I looked at its image as reflected on a shiny surface. That is why I am here to tell of what I saw.
Not clear what changed, or for how long…
I half expect a PSYCH! at 1 AM or so.
SpaceX has their eye on some of them, haven’t had time to evaluate them in detail yet, and don’t want them shattered all over the place and difficult to reach like the guys formerly with the DoE they need to hire.
Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA’s most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that’s not particularly high, but it’s also not zero.
Like I said, keeps going up. But not soon enough to save us, gonna have to figure that out on our own. On the other hand, maybe by then we will have reconstituted whatever is left of our science infrastructure to do something if need be?
Your article included a line that surprised me:
Years ago I saw someone at Caltech give a presentation about risks to earth from asteroid impacts and the guy said that, counterintuitively, an ocean impact would actually tend to be more deadly than an impact on land because it would cause a tsunami that could travel huge distances, and a large fraction of earth’s population lives near coastlines.
But maybe this one just isn’t big enough to cause a major tsunami? That author wrote a book about asteroids so hopefully he knows what he’s talking about.