Right!!??
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Ugh, why canât it happen to a bad one instead?
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Because we live in the worst timeline.
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Wait⊠the fall of the Assad regime is the start of WW3? Really?!? Not the genocidal wars in Gaza and Ukraine? Jackasses.
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Why should you care about this? Because this expanding global conflict is going to have an increasingly significant impact on your business. It is going to impact the global economy. It is going to impact your supply chain. It is going to impact your customers.
Jackasses doesnât even begin to cover it. There is something badly missing from this person and anyone who can read them without feeling sick.
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Not helpful, IranâŠ
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Iran is never going to mention the Saydnaya Military Prison or what possible influence its existence might have had on peopleâs desire to rise up against the al-Assad regime, because Iran has too many prisons like it of its own.
No, itâs the childrenâs Americaâs fault.
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The Pod Save the World guys (former Obama officials) were saying that the absolute best thing about this regime change was that it really was done by the people of Syria, and the U.S. and other countries had very little to do with it, which gives it a hell of a lot more legitimacy and better prospects for Syria to have some stability and peace in the future. (Far from guaranteed though.)
But they were also picking apart a statement from Biden where he was taking credit for sanctions taking down Assad. They werenât impressed with that argument. They said that to the extent that the U.S. helped overthrow Assad at all it was an accidental âbank shotâ that we shouldnât be proud of:
- The U.S. suppled Ukraine with a shit-ton of weapons that kept Russiaâs military occupied and Netanyahu with a shit-ton of weapons that were used in part (and against Bidenâs wishes) to bomb Hezbollah (along with many civilians) in Lebanon.
- The Russian military and Hezbollah were therefore less able to help prop up the Assad regime than they had been in the past, so Syriaâs opposition groups were able to defeat Assad a bit easier than they otherwise would.
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Thatâs possibly what the Elongated Muskrat thinks. Iâm sure heâd love to be the one pulling the strings of world politics, but as I said in another thread, despite his love of 4X games, heâs not Jernau Morat Gurgeh, and even if he does like playing politics, heâs absolutely not Cheradenine Zakalwe either.
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Ultimately, yeah; heâs nowhere near as bright as he thinks he is. Dunning-Kruger.
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Proxy wars around the world are more a sign of Cold War II rather than WWIII
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Nobody will risk a WW2 style conflict with nukes around. Itâs proxy wars until someone figures out a 100% anti nuke strategy.
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I donât knowâŠthatâs the general wisdom about a third global conflict along the lines of the first two, but Iâm not so sure that the common sense views about global affairs comports with reality anymore. Throwing a bunch of bomb throwing right wingers, who have a massive nihilistic streak changes things, I think. You wouldnât do that, nor would anyone who has some grasp of reality and wants things to be relatively stable in the world, so that the âfree marketâ can do itâs thing⊠but the right wing populists, despite their claims of loving capitalism, love power, hurting âtheir enemiesâ, and amassing wealth even more. I think all the common wisdom about how countries interact are changing, and to what, I donât know⊠what does a planet with more autocracies with right wing populists in charge, who need to find the next enemy, at home or abroad, look like? I donât know⊠But not like the old order.
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I donât know that itâs âdoomâ so much as itâs just⊠not the same calculus that we did during the 20th century and those conflicts. If the second world war showed us anything, itâs that fascists are unpredictable to at least some degree, and are willing to plumb some seriously fucked up depths. A good alternate history exercise might be what would have happened if the Nazis had beaten us to nukes? I mean, dropping the bomb on Japan was bad enough and a nihilistic enough act in and of itself⊠What would the nazis have done with it? As long as weâre using the same understanding of the world when the world is, in many ways, measurable different, then I donât think weâre gonna be able to make some educated guesses. I just donât think that nukes are a deterrent in the same way that they were in the Cold War to a larger globalized conflictâŠ
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