Elections 2023-2024

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And no small number of Lincoln Project Republicans…

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The only encouraging thing is that while they all think there will be riots, they each have an excuse why they themselves can’t participate

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Rats deserting a sinking ship. Fuentes is still a Nazi.

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Another rat. And very hopefully a sinking ship.

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Obligatory Disclaimer: The following is not financial advice. I’m completely incompetent when it comes to anything to do with the financial markets and not even capricious fools should listen to, or act on, anything I say. Past performance is not indicative of future outcomes, at all, ever.

So I run a computer that watches markets, bonds, equities, metals, and energy at the moment. What it does is surprising simple, but terribly complicated. It watches prices in the market and tries to make a bit of money by balancing what it can see given the fog of the future. It’s not particularly aggressive, I’ve taught it to stare first at the uncertainty, and only then try to pick an action.

It noped out of everything last night. Cashed out. Took a loss and ran away.

I commented on Cory’s piece last week about conspiricies and manipulation in social media, pointing out that the really effective strategies aren’t the ones that make you take a particular action. The real power comes in strategies that make the future seem so scary and uncertain that you make a decision that’s a net loss, just to make the possibility of scary outcomes go away.

There’s a fair bit of modern math, most of it missing in what economists’ use, to show that this is a perfectly rational decision making process. Humans make this computation fairly well in a lot of circumstances, making it a very effective target for bad actors trying to manipulate people.

Without any input from news, sentiments, indictors… just looking at the prices of goods, such as oil or copper, exchanged in the market, my computer has discovered the :us: election and decided that it’s scary. :thinking:

I’m looking for bugs, right now. This hasn’t happened before.

So if you are feeling anxious this election season, take :heart:. The situation has scared my computer, which is a fairly unfeeling, steely-eyed and cold-blooded beast on the best of days.

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This isn’t real. But I had to do some searching to find out, because it absolutely could be real. I hate this timeline.

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I worry that because of a combination of digital rot and media sanewashing, historians in the future will come across real Trump statements and decide they couldn’t possibly be true since they’re all so mind-numbingly stupid.

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That is a very real possibility…

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Future historians will need to have ways to sort the real from the fake… But it’s not something the profession hasn’t done before. Contextual framing can be very helpful. They’ll have to go in with an understanding that “fake news” was a major issue during this period, hence, go in with the proper tools to sort through the material.

But it also opens up the door for future historians to also purposefully distort the record, based on their own political ideologies.

Of course, it’s still a question how much of our digital discussions will be around in the future too. Given how much of it is controlled by private corporations and how little such institutions care about preserving their own history, that’s not a guarantee. All it takes is someone turning off some servers and all that material is just gone. The internet archive and the national archives are doing what they can to preserve as much as they can, but it’s an overwhelming job that should be a major undertaking in all of our archival organizations, private and public.

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Sigh…

:man_facepalming:

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Equal Time Rule.

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Interesting events during which to allow it. Seems to me that viewers of both would have a higher proportion of MAGAts than just about any other programming.

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Well, let’s hope it won’t be the imperial court historian of god emperor Barron VI.

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:face_with_symbols_over_mouth: :onion:

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“Precious bodily fluids…”

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Ah yes, the same genius who’s going to convince Tromp that vaccines should be banned. :weary:

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