A little good news to start the year. VA off-off year elections in 2025 will be a very early indicator of where we are in the new reality.
Post deleted or not, looks like I already know who I’m voting for. One less thing to figure out. Noice!
Don’t Senators not seeking reelection generally vote their core beliefs rather than thinking about political strategy?
At least it should be a favorable time for Dems to run someone new, with pushback against TFG’s administration top of mind. Please, please let it be Buttigieg.
We have our ballots filled out already and will be dropping them off at our local county clerk’s office in the morning on the way to work.
A round up of the just concluded German elections…
I can hope this is the case. The off-off year cycle here does not typically favor Dems, but nothing is normal anymore, so maybe?
Wise (and encouraging) words from Robert Reich. His comments after the clip about why we need to focus on elections before the midterms bear repeating:
Well, fuck…
I mean, we can’t complain about senators being too old and out of touch out of one side of our mouths and also complain about a 78-yo one retiring out of the other, right?
As a sidebar, why does EVERY senate election favor republicans? The last half-dozen cycles we see the same reporting: that Democrats have a “difficult election map” in the Senate. There is the Southern Strategy, sure, but that should be factored into reporting. Of course there are more Republican incumbents - they hold the majority. But other than the one-state advantage the GOP holds structurally, there should be at least 1 out 3 senate elections where Dems hold the advantage.
I do agree with the sentiment of getting younger, but I guess my thought is that if there is not a well-place younger contender (I know nothing about NH politics, other than it’s weird) I wonder if there might be an advantage to staying put this cycle. No good option, I think.
Isn’t the recent GOP strategy to convince billionaires to run and fund their own campaigns (or find a billionaire to back their choice)? Most of the Democrats running for office don’t have deep enough pockets to buy a seat.
Ah, true! (And that’s another way that IL is lucky to have a leftie billionaire as guv.)
I think the comment relates to structural advantage (which seats are coming up in the staggered election cycle) vs. other types of advantage, such as voter suppression, funding, etc.
Looking at the current map, https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/92/US_Senate_composition%2C_119th_Congress.svg
I think 2026 is #2 on this stagger map? If I have that right, then Dem seats that are at risk (not in a “safe” state) would be Michigan, Georgia, and now NH. But I see more than a balance on the other side (given the shitstorm T**** is creating and how the GOP is backing him) with at risk seats for Republicans in Alaska, Montana, Texas, North Carolina, and Maine. If Dems hold in their at-risk states, they would need to take 4 out of those 5 GOP at-risk seats. Alaska and Maine are especially at-risk this cycle because of the shift in those states to ranked-choice voting. So I think the assertion that the 2026 senate election map is disadvantageous (structurally) to Dems is false.