Elections 2025-2026

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Nate Silver endorsed… :thinking:

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So no one needs to click.

“Among those who identified as Democrats, 31.5 percent ranked Buttigieg as their top choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, one of the most progressive members of the party, came in second place with 19.4 percent and Harris ranked third with 16.6 percent of the vote.

Other top candidates included Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey (10.4 percent), California Governor Gavin Newsom (7.1 percent), Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (4.8 percent) and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (3.7 percent).“

I’m surprised not to see Pritzker and Walz listed in there. Maybe they weren’t options?

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I actually did click through, I just wanted to shade Silver… :laughing: :grimacing:

Yeah, this is often the problem with this kind of polling? How are they creating the questions for people to answer in the first place… it’s a weird thing where they shape the polling in particular ways, and that ends up coming back as some sort of gospel truth?

I dunno… I general, I’ve come to really wonder how helpful polling actually is in our political environment.

I still think the Walz-AOC ticket is a winner, but that’s just me!

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Speaking Zohran Mamdani…

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Every time someone tries to gotcha someone for opposing Israeli genoocide in Gaza, they should start their answer with, “Just like the majority of American Jews,…”

Let the Zionists try to prove them wrong.

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WTF!?! Maybe it’s a sarcastic endorsement? We are talking about NYC…

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I mean, I hope, but I also know we live in the dumbest of timelines, so…

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Maybe she just hates NY?

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She made an appearance at his campaign rally and hugged him. It’s not sarcastic. My guess is she was offered a position on his administration, should he win.

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Also a characteristic of New Yorkers.

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I realize that the Democrats have a monopoly on being the non-Nazi party that could/might win an election. Having said that, I’d be happy not to register as a Democrat just for the privilege of being able to vote in the non-Nazi primary. Also, where I live, the primary effectively is the general election for
most of the seats, from U.S. Rep on down.

Though where this thread’s concerned, I am not sure that this will play out in time for any 2025 or 2026 elections:

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The only way open primaries really work is if they are ranked choice. Otherwise, Republicans voting for who gets to run against them is a moral hazard.

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Well, open primaries as they exist in the US today require voters to choose which party’s primary they want to vote in, but you can’t vote in both. We have open primaries in Missouri. So I could go vote in the Republican primary, but then I would be allowed to vote in the Democratic Primary. But I can do that even though I’m a registered Democrat. I don’t think there’s much chance that enough Republicans will vote in the Democratic primary here, or vice versa, to actually affect who gets that party’s nomination.

Blanket primaries, where you can vote for a Republican for one office, and a Democrat for another office, in the same primary, were declared unconstitutional by SCOTUS in 2000. I don’t know enough about the case to know why, but that’s why California today has a jungle, or nonpartisan, primary. They initially had a blanket primary, but SCOTUS nixed it.

ETA: Ok, the blanket primary was held to violate the First Amendment’s freedom of association clause. In other words, a political party should have the right to only allow who they want to vote in their primary. I’m not sure why that’s unconstitutional, but open primaries aren’t, but whatever. California just got around that by not having partisan primaries at all. Which, honestly, I think every state should do. If you combined that with some flavor of ranked choice voting, we could totally have more than two viable political parties in this country.

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Thank you for that! I didn’t know the difference between open, blanket, and jungle primaries. I thought those were all different flavors of open primary. TIL.

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I was completely shocked when I saw he was not only running but polling in the lead.

Can Americans please develop memories longer than a single episode of whatever TV shows are on these days?

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Sheesh, I thought most folks were down to the length of a TikTok video. I guess that’s why Faux News watchers, GOP social media post readers, and rally-goers are subjected to so much repetition. In rally footage, we can see how often the crowds just wander off, nod off, and stop paying attention to topics (just like the main speaker, :tangerine: :clown_face:).

:thinking: Maybe there’s some way to refocus them right before an election with short videos / “lowlights reels” that explain why to avoid voting for specific candidates.

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