May I ask what the cumulative “chance” across a whole season would be for each of the above events, for a fair comparison with the other options? If it were, say, a 5% chance that your family is used against you in a given month, compared to a 25% chance that a given member of your family is injured in a season, I could work out the cumulative probability myself, but when the numbers are obscured behind descriptive names, it can be hard to see how they relate to one another (especially since exponentiation can make small differences much bigger very quickly).
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