Wanderthread

Wanderfound · March 10, 2018, 10:18pm

Our analysis shows that while 9 percent of Obama 2012 voters went for Mr. Trump in 2016, 7 percent — that’s more than four million missing voters — stayed home. Three percent voted for a third-party candidate.

[…]

Democratic strategists should recognize that Obama-to-Trump voters do not represent the future of their party. Obama-to-Trump voters diverge from the Democratic Party on many core issues, and in any case they are not particularly loyal Democrats: Less than one third of Obama-to-Trump voters supported Democrats down-ballot in 2016, and only 37 percent identify as Democrats.

In stark contrast, Obama-to-nonvoters share the progressive policy priorities of Democrats, and they strongly identify with the Democratic Party. Four out of every five Obama-to-nonvoters identify as Democrats, and 83 percent reported they would have voted for a Democrat down-ballot. A similar share of Obama-to-nonvoters said that they would have voted for Mrs. Clinton had they turned out to vote. In short, while reclaiming some Obama-to-Trump voters would be a big help to Democratic prospects, re-energizing 2012 Obama voters who stayed home is a more plausible path for the party going forward.

Wanderfound · March 10, 2018, 10:45pm

Wanderfound · March 10, 2018, 10:55pm

Wanderfound · March 10, 2018, 11:04pm

Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 12:05am

Thread:

Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 12:07am

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Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 1:31am

https://twitter.com/adamweinstein/status/972344143782531072

https://twitter.com/justkat54/status/972346439668989952

Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 9:10am

Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 9:13am

https://twitter.com/icafrinresist/status/972714436447428609

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Wanderfound · March 11, 2018, 11:06pm

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Wanderfound · March 12, 2018, 1:50am