Elections 2023-2024

Sadly, we as re past the safe harbor date, so doesn’t really matter. But always remember, every accusation is a confession.

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What it comes down to for me is this: In the October-ish timeframe, I had an optimism. America was rejecting T**** and embracing Harris, not only for what she is, but for what she represented. I had confidence we were moving in the right direction. Maybe not all at once, but directionally.

The results of the election shattered that. I look at the numbers in detail and they don’t make sense. I’ve spent at least 30 years of my life looking at numbers like this. The 2024 US presidential election numbers look FAKE. Not only do they not add up, they don’t match empirical observation.

I guess that makes me a Blueanoner. I don’t deny reality. We’re in this shit together. But it would be good to at least follow this to its conclusion. Because if there were significant-enough shenanigans to sway the outcome, it would help us come to terms with it and prevent it from happening again. A part of the scientific process is following the data even if it doesn’t end up where we think and when it does, to adjust processes for the future.

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It would be cool to live in a universe where such a thing might have political and legal consequences, though. No idea if we do or not. :face_exhaling:

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Every day, I think we in the US move further and further from those pathways to resolution being less and less relevant.

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I’m seeing a lot of discussion in here about elections of this year. Just so y’all know, there’s a separate thread for 2025-2026 elections.

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This is, historically, not weird. NC has been reliably red for Presidential races since Nixon, with the only exceptions being Carter and Obama 1. Since then, it’s stayed red but it’s been close – it’s basically been considered a “lean red” swing state since 2008.

Meanwhile there has always been a significant mix of D and R at the state level and in Congress. Dems had a lock on the state legislature until I think 2016, when the Republicans gained a supermajority and started diluting the power of the governorship (which has been under primarily Democratic control since Reconstruction), and also doing wacky gerrymandering bullshit for both state and Federal districts. Now all kinds of ridiculous stuff happens.

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Trying to keep discussion of past elections out of that thread.

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I know, but there are comments in this thread about the recent NYC mayoral elections just a few posts above.

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I get that. For a few years I was a North Carolina voter. :wink:

The striking thing wasn’t the split but the spread. 23 points is a huge difference. Then again, that spread was even bigger in 2000 and 2004, so it’s not unprecedented.

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That is a pretty big spread, but yeah… within statistical reasonableness, for sure.

(Of course, not to conspiracy-monger, but the best way to hide a conspiracy is to make it appear statistically reasonable…)

(I am not actually endorsing this position.)

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