Elections 2023-2024

[source]

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When their polls and reality turn out to be worlds apart, won’t that help as a bludgeon to help convince them?

Also, as much I hate the stress and anxiety of a supposedly close race, my hope is that worry will motivate many people who might not have bothered, to vote.

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Thanks for that vid.
Up until about 9 minutes in, I thought he was just a smug twat.
(just something about all the “not worried” shit).

Glad to be proved completely wrong.
The last four or five minutes were golden.

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In 2016 at this time, the day before the election, I had a bad feeling. I didn’t know why, but I had a bad feeling, and that feeling got worse as the day went on, and got even worse the next day. That evening, as results started to come in, my gut feeling proved true.

Today, I have a gut feeling that Harris is going to win, and that it’s not even going to be close. Again, I don’t know why I have this feeling, but I do. I do not feel like I did in 2016.

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I hope you are right. I’m a whole lot more anxious than 2016 or 2020

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https://archive.ph/LZOGv

But the argument Musk’s lawyers advanced in court Monday appeared to run counter to earlier statements by Musk himself and posts made by his PAC on his social media platform, X.

On Oct. 19, for example, one post said: “BREAKING: Elon Musk announces that he will be randomly awarding $1 MILLION every day from now until Election Day to registered Pennsylvania voters who sign America PAC’s petition and surprised a member of the audience as the first winner.”

Musk, in announcing the giveaway at a Harrisburg rally that same day, said: “We’re going to be awarding a million dollars — randomly — to people who have signed the petition every day from now until the election.”

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Uncomfortably close to the likely truth, as always. I wonder if he has to do anything to cleanse himself after doing one of these, like taking a shower, or burning incense, or vomiting continuously in a bucket for several minutes straight.

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…and of course he uses it to spew lies. Pathetic.

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I mean’t shouldn’t be so close to each other. More than 10% of the results should show up outside the error range of the polls.

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Yeah, they’re trying to set up an argument that it’s just a contract. Money given in exchange for being a spokesperson. But that’s not going to work. They didn’t require people to submit resumes. They didn’t conduct interviews. I doubt if they even looked at people’s social media. They clearly picked the winners at random, and that makes it undeniably an illegal lottery, per Pennsylvania law. Even if what they won was a job as a spokesperson instead of a million dollars directly, that’s still something of value given to someone whose name was picked at random, and that makes it a lottery.

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Counterpoint: Nate Silver. If he still has a job, I’m not sure that any amount of reality is enough to move them.

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Thank you for that.

It seems like a strange legal strategy to claim the winners weren’t picked at random, when the promotion of the giveaway as a random drawing alone is enough to violate PA law, and then if they weren’t picked at random, it just becomes fraud. Unless the whole thing is just to kick it down the road in hopes that Donny wins and makes it go away?

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Well these are state charges. He can’t make those go away.

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Once he has the Chancellorship, such petty concerns will no longer be a hindrance.

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I must be missing something. How is “Oh, it wasn’t really random, we were picking specific people to give money to instead of giving it away the way we told everybody” considered better?

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Because billionaire?

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In a one-page order issued after a daylong hearing, Common Pleas Court Judge Angelo Foglietta denied Krasner’s request for an injunction preventing the tech billionaire and his America PAC from continuing to operate in Pennsylvania.

The judge did not immediately elaborate on the reasons for his decision, saying in his filing that he intended to release a more detailed opinion soon elaborating on his ruling.

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tenor

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