Well this is interesting

News
2790

If it’s just the one site, then it might say something about the readership of that site, rather than about English-speaking society in general.

You’d have to do a comparison against other sites which host explicit content (e.g. StoriesOnline, QuestionableQuesting, or Archive of Our Own) to see how prevalent the trend is.

If it holds true across all (or even most) of those sites, then yeah, it says something about our culture. Otherwise, it might just be that Literotica is known for that kind of content, which draws people who like that content there, and those people rate that content higher, which has them produce more of that content, which leads to them being known for that content, creating a cycle ad infinitum.

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2791

I think its just titillating to have something that is preventing you from getting together that slows the action down a bit in a porn situation. The incest category on that site, a lot of them are written in a way that is so completely over the top and not realistic that it’s not really believable. It’s like, we’re a family that just likes to all have threesomes together, as so many families do. I do think it’s gross how many of the ones that are popular are about moms having sex with their sons. But I mean, I guess it makes sense that men might find that exciting. But to me the ones where it’s brother/sister are a little more arousing. Just kind of EW when it’s a parent and a child.

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2792

Oh, sure. I’m not saying that each of those other sites don’t have that kind of story; they absolutely do. There’s some sort of widespread appeal to them, no doubt.

I’m just saying that the fact that they make up the entire top 10 at Literotica might be an artifact of catering specifically to that site’s audience.

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2793

Sorry I missed that, but I’ve been laid out by a bad cold followed by a stomach bug. I would have been the guy who hit the “brown note” of lore.

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2794

Since the apocalypse has been locked…

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2795

Somewhat more informative:

Apparently a slime mold. Not something exotic like a hemimastigote, vendozoan/vendobiote, or shoggoth.

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2796

Looks like it’s gone? The tweet, I mean…

Aw… was kind of hoping…

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2797

Yeah… apparently believing a newswire about even non political stuff is fraught:

Mea culpa. I thought something cool might have been discovered. OTOH, even bog-standard slime molds are interesting.

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2798

I mean, living in the blob might be a nice change of pace from the stupid timeline! :wink:

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2799

Slime mold was the first thing that came to mind (ha).

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2800

I became of a member of the local pinball museum because finally even with my terrible eye-hand coordination I can become good at games because unlimited plays. I’m a slow learner but with time I can learn.

They have THIS machine at our museum and dude it is trippy. I am freaking in love with it. Generally I dig the slower moving machines because I’m still learning and it gives me time to sort out how to react.

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2801

https://www.oddsshark.com/other/2020-usa-presidential-odds-futures
Yeesh.

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2803

Okay, let’s break those odds down.

A coin flip is -115 (if you bet $1.15 and are correct, you win $2.15, for a net profit of $1.00).

With that -15 correction in mind…

Donald Trump is being given a 100/(120+100+15)=100/235 = 42.6% chance of being reelected.
Warren is being given a 100/(250+100+15) = 100/365 = 27.4% chance of being elected.
Biden is being given a 100/(800+100+15) = 100/915 = 10.9% chance of being elected.
Sanders is being given a 100/(1600+100+15) = 100/1715 = 5.8% chance of being elected.

Moving down the page, on Sept. 17, they would have given Trump a 45.5% chance of being elected. Sanders, on the other hand, has dropped from a 9.0% chance on Sept. 17.

Impeachment is dead even; not sure if that counts removal or just the House voting to impeach. If it’s the former, I’d sell (no way it’s as high as 50% to remove him); if it’s the latter, I’d buy (no way it’s as low as 50% for the House to vote to impeach),

The Republican nominee one is interesting, because they’re using a much smaller cut; add it all up, and Trump has about an 81% chance of being the nominee.

As for party politics, they’re giving a 45.7% chance of a Republican President being elected in 2021.

And that’s an interesting number in itself, because if Trump were equally likely to be elected as any other Republican nominee, that wouldn’t be the correct number. 0.457 x 0.81 = 0.37, or what should be a 37% of Trump getting reelected, compared to a 42.6 percent chance that they’re actually giving. Trump is more likely to be re-elected than he would be if “Trump is the nominee” and “a Republican President gets elected” were independent variables.

So, how likely is it that a Republican gets elected in 2020 if Trump isn’t the nominee?

The possibility that Trump is elected makes up 0.426 of the 0.457 probability that a Republican nominee is elected, or 93.2% of that chance. As a reminder, there’s only an 81% chance he’s the nominee in the first place.

The chance that they’re giving for a non-Trump Republican winning, if nominated, is 0.031/0.19 = only a 16.3% chance of election.

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2804

That’s something I’ve been thinking about. Trump is such a rogue wave, sucking up so much energy and doing so much damage, that he’s got to have hurt the Republican party. I can’t imagine Mitch McConnell or Lindsey Graham running for president. Even Pence, although Pence and Stephen Harper have similar public personas.

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2805

Two words: Bill Weld.

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2806

You made statistics almost…comforting! What a skill THAT is!

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2807

Orson Welles was a suspect at one time. WARNING: Descriptions of a man doing really bad things to his kids, et al.
https://pleasekillme.com/black-dahlia/?fbclid=IwAR1SmlvlTOeMpCbd64PwVl5woBXLokmL_Zy4M4Av5P3tr5kpPcuDziCbjzk

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2808

https://pleasekillme.com

Not clicking that at work.

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2809

It’s NOT anything like that, we’ve BEEN though this before, or me and someone else has!

It’s based on the title of a book that’s an oral history of punk rock. Richard Hell or someone had a T-shirt that said “Please Kill Me”, and that’s where it all came from.

Sheesh!

THIS…now, this, don’t click at work! https://www.crazygames.com/game/whack-your-boss

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